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December 19, 2007

Coffee Talk with Jeff Pulver – Jeff’s Predictions for 2008

It seems to be that time of year again; the time for people to share their predictions for the year ahead. Below are my predictions for 2008 from my foggy crystal ball:

1) Lobbyists and Policymakers in the US will continue to try to apply legacy rules and regulations on Internet based applications, be it voice, television or radio.

2) The FCC will attempt to extend its definition of indecency laws to the Internet, Cable and Satellite networks prior to the 2008 Election.

3) Broadband penetration will continue to snowball in the US, but not at a pace fast enough to raise America's mediocre global standing in broadband penetration.

4) As filmmakers start to feel comfortable with the concept of going "direct to the Net", 2008 will be the year when this starts to become the norm, rather than the exception.

5) If the writer’s strike is not resolved by February, look for the major networks to start importing successful TV series from abroad and presenting them as “new” for the remainder of the 2008 television season.

6) During 2008 there will be a Federal Inquiry regarding the state of Social Networks.

7) By the end of 2008, most Enterprises will have or will be working on their social media strategy.

8) There will be at least one major acquisition in the billion-dollar-plus price range, matching or exceeding Google’s purchase price to acquire YouTube. Major media and Internet companies will announce blended, transformational internet based communications plays.

9) Facebook will join together with Newscorp, Google and others to influence public policy in Washington, D.C.

10) Users will also recognize the value of the Internet as a better means to access content than traditional broadcast and cable delivery systems, thereby greatly reducing the impact of the 2009 DTV mandate.

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Posted by jeff on December 19, 2007 09:21 AM | Permalink

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Comments

I think there will be a guerilla movement, which will allow for chat threads to post without the host requiring the so much personal data. The current business model is to garner advertising revenue. After that disaster with FB's Beacon I sure don't trust that site anymore. The same is true for blogs.

I agree with the great lawyer Clarence Darrow's self-reflection: "I have suffered from being misunderstood, but I would have suffered a hell of a lot more if I had been understood."

Posted by: mindsweat at December 26, 2007 02:19 PM

Number 5 could happen, but I believe the strike would be resolved by then.
As for number 9 - I think it is already happening :)

Posted by: Eveline Erfolg at December 22, 2007 10:52 AM

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